Tuesday, June 3, 2008

Gavin Floyd Update

You know it happens: You're dating a nice girl who could lose about 15 pounds. You break it off to go after some fine Portugese tail on that "business trip" you're taking to South Padre Island. She gets mad, hits the gym, and suddenly looks like a Centerfold.

You tell yourself that there's no way she can keep this up, that she'll "regress to the mean," that she'll put that 15 pounds right back on in six months when the Holloween candy comes out. You sit back and wait. And wait. And wait.

Since our last posting re: Mssr. Floyd, after his near-no hitter, he's progressed slightly back to the mean. Gavin is now 5-3 with a 3.22 ERA, which would make him...wait for it...the best Phillies starting pitcher.

Eaton........4.99
Hamels......3.73
Kendrick.....5.00
Moyer........4.65
Myers..........5.52

Floyd's ERA+ is 134. For those of you unfamiliar with crazy stats, it measures how much better Floyd is from the rest of baseball. Average ERA+ is 100. It's also park-adjusted, meaning that it's supposed to take into account where these games were played, in order to reduce what I like to call "The Chan Ho Park Effect." Floyd is currently 11th in the AL in this stat.

For contrast, Freddy Garcia is not on these lists, since he's still recovering from shoulder surgery. Also, those numbers would be good for eighth in the NL.

But don't worry, Phillies starting pitchers are at the top of the leaderboards in other areas. For instance, Brett Myers is second in earned runs allowed with 45(!). He's also tied for third in losses. He's allowed 15 home runs and 88 hits. AWESOME! Opening day starter anyone?

In non-sarcastic news, Hamels is pretty much at the top in all good categories, such as WHIP, etc. Moyer doesn't walk anybody. So we've got that going for us, which is nice.

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